http://hdl.handle.net/10398/99 2013-05-23T01:12:37Z 2013-05-23T01:12:37Z Duus, Henrik Johannsen http://hdl.handle.net/10398/7680 2011-09-08T13:20:15Z 2007-12-05T00:00:00Z

Strategisk Forecasting som Erhvervsøkonomisk Disciplin Duus, Henrik Johannsen Der kan forventes en øget interesse for virksomhedens eksterne omgivelser i strategilægningen i forbindelse med ændringer i virksomhedernes erhvervsbetingelser. Dette aktualiserer Strategisk Forecasting, som kan defineres som det område af erhvervsøkonomien, der omhandler studiet og anvendelsen af metoder, teorier og teknikker, som understøtter langsigtede analyser af virksomhedernes fjernmiljø i forbindelse med den strategiske iværksættelse af innovative aktiviteter. Dette paper afgrænser området i forhold til andre typer af analyser og udvikler det teoretiske grundlag bag området. Afslutningsvis specificeres udfordringerne i den fremtidige teoretiske udvikling og implikationerne for den erhvervsøkonomiske praksis i virksomhederne.

2007-12-05T00:00:00Z Duus, Henrik Johannsen http://hdl.handle.net/10398/7679 2011-09-08T13:20:09Z 2003-12-15T00:00:00Z

E-learning paradigmer og e-learning strategiudvikling Duus, Henrik Johannsen E-learning området er meget varieret hvad angår produkter, holdninger og meninger, og indeholder også en del "støj" og mytedannelser, som afspejles i såvel den akademisk-videnskabelige som den journalistisk-offentlige debat om området. Denne variation i såvel produkter som udtrykte meninger søges systematiseret og ordnet i fire idealtypiske paradigmer. Det vises, hvorledes disse fire paradigmer har hver sine bestemte karakteristika og udviklingsgrænser. Dette har afgørende strategisk betydning for virksomheders og læreanstalters udvikling af e-learning, idet forkerte paradigmevalg vil hæmme udviklingen.

2003-12-15T00:00:00Z Duus, Henrik Johannsen http://hdl.handle.net/10398/7674 2011-09-08T13:19:35Z 2008-11-13T00:00:00Z

Strategic forecasting : Theory, practice and strategy Duus, Henrik Johannsen Current changes in business conditions may increase interest in environmental scanning and external analysis within the area of corporate strategy. Thus, strategic forecasting is gaining prominence. Strategic forecasting can be defined as the area of business economics that deals with the study and the practical application of methods, theories, models and techniques for long-term analysis of the non-proximate environment of the firm with the purpose of conducting strategic innovation. This paper distinguishes strategic forecasting from other analytical approaches and develops its theoretical basis. Finally, challenges in future theoretical development and implications for business economic theory and practices are elaborated.

2008-11-13T00:00:00Z Bordum, Anders http://hdl.handle.net/10398/7675 2011-09-08T13:19:44Z 2004-09-21T00:00:00Z

Trust as a Critical Concept Bordum, Anders In this articlei I will argue that trust is a fundamental and critical concept because trust is the direct or transcendental constitutive ground of most social phenomena, as well as applicable as an operational method in critical theory. There are two different but overlapping positions on trust I address in this article. One is the standpoint we find in business strategy, that trust is naïve to show, and control or contracts are presumed better. In the strategy game the idealistic good guys seems to lose (Arrow 1974), (Williamson 1975). The other position is the position taken by systems theory where trust is treated as if it was a value-neutral system-internal decision, which presupposes that trust and mistrust are symmetrically interrelated functionally (Luhmann 1979). In his early book Trust and Power, Niklas Luhmann seems to agree with the vision guiding my general argument that there is a need for clear directions and specifications in organisations and systems as to whether trust or distrust is appropriate and rational (Luhmann 1979:93). Yet I challenge these positions described above with an alternative understanding inspired by Jürgen Habermas which can be applied as an operational strategy for analyzing trust in its’ empirical and social distribution, without ignoring the questions of validity in real social settings where trust is actively playing a direct or indirect constitutional role in the foundation of most interactions, organisations, institutions, and societies.

2004-09-21T00:00:00Z