Browsing Department of International Economics and Management (INT) by Author "Risager, Ole"
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Abstract: A number of influential studies have documented a considerable value premium for US stocks over long periods of time. Value stocks, defined as companies that trade at low price-earnings or price-book values, are reported to have given a higher mean return than growth stocks trading at high multiples. Outside the US, there is also robust evidence of a value premium for the UK, but otherwise the evidence is more uncertain due to data shortages. Studies of continental European and Asian markets are, for example, based on data that typically only covers 20 years of market history. The purpose of this paper is to report evidence for the Danish market using a consistent data set that extends over the period 1950-2008. On the basis of these data the paper investigates whether the value premium is a stylized fact or just a phenomenon that pops up every few decades only to disappear again. The results show that the Danish value premium exists and is significant over the long run. However, this paper also shows that the premium is not a simple constant but is volatile even across decades. URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10398/8241 Files in this item: 1
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Risager, Ole (København, 2008)[More information][Less information]
Abstract: A number of influential studies have documented a considerable value premium for US stocks over long time periods (Fama and French (1992, 2008), Lakonishok et al. (1994)). Stocks with low price-earnings multiples, price-book values and other measures of value are reported to have given a higher mean return than stocks with high multiples and high asset growth (Cooper et al. (2008)). Outside the US, the evidence is more uncertain due to data shortages. On the basis of a unique data set that extends over more than half a century, this paper not only shows that there is a value premium in the Danish market but also that growth stocks only produce high earnings growth in the run-up to portfolio formation. Growth stocks are therefore likely to have disappointed investors. We therefore also estimate the proportion of the premium that can be explained by growth stocks’ earnings disappointment. URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10398/6560 Files in this item: 1
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