Centre for Economic and Business Research (CEBR) Titler
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Poutvaara, Panu; Tuomala, Juha; Jordahl, Henrik (København, 2008)[Flere oplysninger][Færre oplysninger]
Resume: In a recent paper, García-Mainar and Montuenga-Gómez [Econ. Edu. Rev. 24 (2005)] apply the generalized IV model of Hausman and Taylor to estimate education returns of wage earners and the self-employed in Portugal and in Spain. Our examination reveals several problems which relate to the validity and documentation of the instrumental variables, as well as the robustness of the results. URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10398/7712 Filer i denne post: 1
dp 2008-14.pdf (101.6Kb) -
Schneider, Cédric (København, 2007)[Flere oplysninger][Færre oplysninger]
Resume: The aim of this paper is to study the determinants of the outcomes of patent applications (withdrawal, refusal or grant). The application process at the European Patent O¢ ce is modelled in three stages, using a Trivariate Probit model with double selectivity correction in order to test whether the applicants patenting history has an eect on the outcome of the current application. I investigate the behavior of the applicant after the patent o¢ ce has established the "state of the art", a precondition to an invention being patentable. The main results are (i) rms with large patents portfolios act following a "trial and error" strategy, by applying for large numbers of patents and thereafter waiting for the patent o¢ ce s nal decision when the expected probability of grant is high, (ii) the technological importance of a patent is a crucial determinant of a successful application grant, (iii) a withdrawal is to be regarded as an expected refusal, since applicants tend to withdraw their applications when there is evidence that the inventions cannot be considered to be novel or to involve an inventive step. patents, intellectual property rights URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10398/7693 Filer i denne post: 1
artikel 12.pdf (278.2Kb) -
Jacobsen, Jóannes; Sørensen, Anders; Junge, Martin (Frederiksberg, 2011)[Flere oplysninger][Færre oplysninger]
Resume: Der er klar sammenhæng mellem danske virksomheders digitaliseringsstrategi og produktivitet. Det viser denne rapport, som CEBR har udarbejdet for IT- og Telestyrelsen på grundlag af en pålidelig stikprøve på omkring 8.500 danske virksomheder. Et af rapportens nøgleresultater er, at en 1 procent-point større andel af virksomheder, som har digitaliseret visse forretningsprocesser, er knyttet til 0,72 procent højere værditilvækst pr. medarbejder. Det svarer i et makroøkonomisk perspektiv til mellem 2,6 og 6,5 milliarder kroner i årlig bruttoværditilvækst. URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10398/8481 Filer i denne post: 1
jacobsen_soerensen_junge_2011.pdf (2.606Mb) -
Rose Skaksen, Jan; Malchow-Møller, Nikolaj; Aastrup Jensen, Claus (København, 2007)[Flere oplysninger][Færre oplysninger]
Resume: We set up a theoretical model to analyze the implications of coordination of immigration policies among destination countries. The model contains two types of spill-overs between destination countries: A terms of trade externality and a welfare policy externality. We show that while coordination unambiguously increases welfare of the destination countries, the effects on the level of immigration and on the income distribution of natives are ambiguous. Thus, coordination among destination countries does not necessarily solve the global coordination problem of inoptimally low levels of migration. Coordination, Externalities, Immigration Policy, Spill-overs, Terms of Trade, Welfare. URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10398/7698 Filer i denne post: 1
artikel 15.pdf (289.0Kb) -
Dalgaard, Carl-Johan; Schultz, Esben Anton; Sørensen, Anders (Frederiksberg, 2009)[Flere oplysninger][Færre oplysninger]
Resume: Is the wage gap between majors in human arts and other fields caused by the education? If the educational choice is endogenous, the wage gap may instead be caused by selection. We document that individuals’ educational choice is correlated with that of older students and by the concentration of women in their high school. Conditional on high school fixed effects, these characteristics are unlikely to affect post-university wages and are plausible instruments for the educational choice. Our 2SLS estimates reveal that the gap in returns to education is negligible, implying that the wage gap is attributable to selection. URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10398/7989 Filer i denne post: 1
WP_Dalgaard_Schultz_Sorensen.pdf (417.8Kb) -
le Maire, Daniel; Schjerning, Bertel (København, 2007)[Flere oplysninger][Færre oplysninger]
Resume: This paper investigates the relationship between self-employment choice, expected earnings, and uncertainty. Several interesting results emerge from our analysis on Danish longitudinal register data: Firstly, self-employed (taxable) personal income bunch at kink points in the tax system since self-employed can retain earnings and thereby transfer income across tax-years. Secondly, expected income level and income variance are important determinants in choice of occupation. Thirdly, men put more emphasis on expected earnings level, while women appears more risk averse, which contribute to explain why fewer women are self-employed. Finally, our results suggest that non-western immigrants are marginalized into self-employment. Occupational choice, self-employment, wage-dierentials, income uncertainty, risk aversion, overcon dence, self-selection, gender dierences. URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10398/7701 Filer i denne post: 1
artikel 04.pdf (261.1Kb) -
AnalyserapportFosse, Henrik Barslund; Højbjerg Jacobsen, Rasmus; Kuhn, Johan Moritz (Frederiksberg, 2012)[Flere oplysninger][Færre oplysninger]
Resume: Hovedformålet med denne rapport har været at foretage sammenligninger på to planer: For det første at sammenligne de økonomiske modeller ADAM og DREAM, og for det andet at sammenligne to mulige scenarier for danske økonomi. Hovedvægten er lagt på at undersøge, hvordan udviklingen i boligpriserne og de offentlige finanser varierer på tværs af de økonomiske forudsætninger og de økonomiske modeller. Vi arbejder i hovedtræk med tre forløb: Et reform- og genopretningsforløb, et laden-stå-til-forløb med negativ udvikling i udlandet og et grundforløb i de to modeller, som vi bruger til at sammenligne de øvrige forløb med. URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10398/8537 Filer i denne post: 1
Fosse_Jacobsen_Kuhn_2012.pdf (4.076Mb) -
Iversen, Jens; Malchow-Møller, Nikolaj; Sørensen, Anders (Frederiksberg, 2009)[Flere oplysninger][Færre oplysninger]
Resume: We argue that formal schooling and wage-work experience are complementary types of human capital for entrepreneurs. Strong empirical support is found for this hypothesis as the interaction term between schooling and actual wage-work experience enters positively and significantly in a Mincer equation, whereas the effect of schooling in the absence of wage-work experience is insignificant. These results are extremely robust towards more flexible specifications, including fixed-effects estimations dealing with unobserved heterogeneity. For wage workers, the interaction term is negligible, confirming that the complementarity is a distinct characteristic of entrepreneurial human capital. URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10398/7990 Filer i denne post: 1
WP_Iversen_Malchow_Sorensen.pdf (256.4Kb) -
Malchow-Møller, Nikolaj; Schjerning, Bertel; Sørensen, Anders (København, 2008)[Flere oplysninger][Færre oplysninger]
Resume: This paper analyses the importance of entrepreneurs for job creation and wage growth. Relying on unique data that covers all plants, firms and individuals in the Danish private sector, we are able to distil a number of different measures of entrepreneurial plants from the set of new plants, including measures that much more precisely capture the "truly new” or "entrepreneurial” plants than in previous studies. Using these data, we find that while new plants in general account for one third of the gross job creation in the economy, entrepreneurial plants are responsible for between 15% and 25% of this, and thus only account for up to 8% of total gross job creation in the economy. However, entrepreneurial plants seem to generate more additional jobs than other new plants in the years following entry. Finally, the jobs generated by entrepreneurial plants are to a large extent low-wage jobs, as they are not found to contribute to the growth in average wages. However, this insight varies across the different types of entrepreneurial plants. URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10398/7713 Filer i denne post: 1
dp 2008-13.pdf (122.6Kb) -
Poutvaara, Panu (København, 2007)[Flere oplysninger][Færre oplysninger]
Resume: This paper analyzes educational choices and political support for subsidies to higher education in the presence of a time-consistency problem in income redistribution. There may be political support for so generous subsidization that it motivates the median voter to obtain higher education. As a result of increasing own income, the median voter prefers in the future lower taxes than without higher education. Therefore, the expansion of participation in higher education during the second half of the 20th century may have partly been driven by the aim to limit the political support for overly generous income redistribution. education, time-consistency problem, voting, subsidies to education URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10398/7684 Filer i denne post: 1
artikel 17.pdf (191.4Kb) -
Malchow-Møller, Nikolaj; Munch, Jakob Roland; Schroll, Sanne; Rose Skaksen, Jan (København, 2007)[Flere oplysninger][Færre oplysninger]
Resume: In this paper, we use data from the first two rounds of the European Social Survey to analyze the extent to which differences in average attitudes towards immigration across the EU-15 countries may be explained by differences in socioeconomic characteristics and individually perceived consequences of immigration, using an extension of a decomposition technique developed by Fairlie (2005). We find that despite the significant effects of socioeconomic characteristics on attitudes, differences in the distributions of these characteristics can only explain a modest share of the cross-country variation in average attitudes. A larger part can be explained by differences in perceived consequences of immigration, but the main part is still left unexplained. Apart from providing useful input for policy makers working in the area of immigration policy, this raises a number of questions for further research for which the ESS data can be successfully applied. Attitudes, Immigration, Cross-country differences URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10398/7687 Filer i denne post: 1
artikel 05.pdf (511.8Kb) -
Fosse, Henrik Barslund (Frederiksberg, 2012)[Flere oplysninger][Færre oplysninger]
Resume: Firms exporting to foreign markets face a particular challenge: to price their exports in a foreign market when the exchange rate changes. This paper takes on pricing- to-market using a unique data set that covers rm level monthly trade at great detail. As opposed to annual trade ows, monthly trade ows bring us closer to the transaction level where rm decisions are actually made. I nd that the utilization of monthly data does add new information about the average level of pricing-to-market, and the di¤erences between long-run pricing-to-market and short-run pricing-to-market. Furthermore, I nd industry di¤erences in pricing-to-market in terms of the magnitude (zero to complete pricing-to-market) and the timing (when do rms changes prices), and that pricing-to-market is stronger on high-income markets. As discussed in detail in the paper, all results are in-line with predictions of several theoretical contributions to the litterature on pricing-to-market and exchange rate pass-through. URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10398/8539 Filer i denne post: 1
Fosse_2012_1.pdf (303.2Kb) -
Glazer, Amihai; Kanniainen, Vesa; Poutvaara, Panu (København, 2008)[Flere oplysninger][Færre oplysninger]
Resume: This paper develops a theory of consumer boycotts. Some consumers care not only about the products they buy but also about whether the firm behaves ethically. Other consumers do not care about the behavior of the firm but yet may like to give the impression of being ethical consumers. Consequently, to affect a firm’s ethical behavior, moral consumers refuse to buy from an unethical firm. Consumers who do not care about ethical behavior may join the boycott to (falsely) signal that they do care. In the firm’s choice between ethical and unethical behavior, the optimality of mixed and pure strategies depends on the cost of behaving ethically. In particular, when the cost is (relatively) low, ethical behavior arises from a prisoners’ dilemma as the firm’s optimal strategy. URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10398/7706 Filer i denne post: 1
dp 2008-08.pdf (225.8Kb) -
Koskela, Erkki; Poutvaara, Panu (København, 2008)[Flere oplysninger][Færre oplysninger]
Resume: In European Welfare States, low-skilled workers are typically unionized, while the wage formation of high-skilled workers is more competitive. To focus on this aspect, we analyze how flexible international outsourcing and labour taxation affect wage formation, employment and welfare in dual domestic labour markets. Higher productivity of outsourcing, lower cost of outsourcing and lower factor price of outsourcing increase wage dispersion between the high-skilled and low-skilled workers. Increasing wage tax progression of low-skilled workers decreases the wage rate and increases the labour demand of low-skilled workers. It decreases the welfare of lowskilled workers and increases both the welfare of high-skilled workers and the profit of firms. URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10398/7696 Filer i denne post: 1
dp 2008-15.pdf (183.1Kb) -
Kaiser, Ulrich; Grimpe, Christoph (København, 2008)[Flere oplysninger][Færre oplysninger]
Resume: Determining the research and development (R&D) boundaries of the firm as the choice between internal, collaborative and external technology acquisition has since long been a major challenge for firms to secure a continuous stream of innovative products or processes. While research on R&D cooperation or strategic alliances is abundant, little is known about the outsourcing of R&D activities to contract research organizations and its implications for innovation performance. This paper investigates the driving forces of external technology sourcing through contract research based on arguments from transaction cost theory and the resource-based view of the firm. Using a large and comprehensive data set of innovating firms from Germany our findings suggest that technological uncertainty, contractual experience and openness to external knowledge sources motivate the choice for engaging in contract research activities. Moreover, we show that internal and external R&D sourcing are complements: the marginal contribution of internal (external) R&D is the larger the more firms spend on external (internal) R&D. URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10398/7690 Filer i denne post: 1
dp 2008-02.pdf (227.6Kb) -
Højbjerg Jacobsen, Rasmus (Frederiksberg, 2013)[Flere oplysninger][Færre oplysninger]
Resume: When a policy maker or an administrator decides on how many and which of a number of proposed policy measures to implement an important piece of information is whether the effort is “worthwhile”. The precise meaning of the word “worthwhile” will depend on the context. In some cases, the question of whether a policy measure is worthwhile will be decided on a purely qualitative basis given the results of the policy measure. In other – and perhaps most – cases some sort of money evaluation will be attached to the results, and a total effect in money terms will be used to evaluate the results. This manual is concerned with the latter case. Given the large degree of competition between various projects for public funds, a compelling case for a specific project can be made if a well carried out cost-benefit-analysis shows a resulting surplus. While this criterion is obviously not the only one used, it could be an important factor when preparing policy makers to make decisions about a specific project. The basic idea behind cost-benefit-analysis is simple: calculate all benefits and all the costs associated with a specific effort, subtract the costs from the benefits while carefully addressing the time profile, and use the resulting number as an indicator for the economic profitability of the project. If the result is positive, the project produces an economic surplus, and if it is negative the project leads to an economic loss. URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10398/8878 Filer i denne post: 1
Rasmus_Hoejbjerg_Jacobsen.pdf (402.7Kb) -
Hagen Jørgensen, Ole (København, 2008)[Flere oplysninger][Færre oplysninger]
Resume: This paper shows how improved health conditions aect fertility decisions and economic growth. Survival rates for children and adults are incorporated into an overlapping generations model featuring endogenous fertility and altruism from workers towards their retired parents. The main nding is that a simultaneous increase in child and adult survival decreases fertility and increases savings and productivity growth. The analysis illustrates the key role of health in the demographic transition. URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10398/7695 Filer i denne post: 1
dp 2008-04.pdf (1.563Mb) -
Er Danskere Specielle?Munch, Jakob Roland; Rose Skaksen, Jan; Schroll, Sanne; Malchow-Møller, Nikolaj (København, 2006)[Flere oplysninger][Færre oplysninger]
Resume: Denne artikel belyser holdninger til immigration blandt borgere i Danmark og de øvrige EU-15 lande - herunder holdningerne til immigration, der følger af den seneste EU-udvidelse. Det analyseres, hvilke faktorer der ligger til frund for disse holdninger, samt i hvilken udstrækning danskere afviger fra EU-gennemsnittet. Den typiske dansker er lidt mere skeptisk overfor immigration end andre europæere. Danskerne afskiller sig desuden ved, at forholdsvis få forbinder øget immigration med negative konsekvenser for arbejdsmarkedet, men forholdsvis mange forbinder det med højere omkostninger for velfærdsstaten. Når der tages hensyn til opfattelserne af de økonomiske konsekvenser af immigration, kommer Danmark til at fremstå som et væsentligt mere immigrationsskeptisk land, end hvad der kommer til udtryk i de ukorrigerede holdninger. URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10398/7564 Filer i denne post: 1
ap_2006-01_001.pdf (411.2Kb) -
Do Police Reduce Group Violence?Priks, Mikael; Poutvaara, Panu (København, 2007)[Flere oplysninger][Færre oplysninger]
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Munch, Jakob Roland; Rose Skaksen, Jan; Malchow-Møller, Nikolaj (København, 2007)[Flere oplysninger][Færre oplysninger]
Resume: We propose a complementary approach to analyze the impact of immigration on the wages of native workers. Using linked employer-employee data from Denmark for a relatively long time period (1993-2004), we study the consequences of an increased use of immigrants at the most disaggregate level – the workplace. We find that an increase in the share of workers from less developed countries at the workplace has a signifi cantly negative effect on the wages of natives – also when controlling for potential endogeneity using both fi xed effects and IV. The use of immigrants from more developed countries also appears to be correlated with wages. However, these correlations disappear when controlling for unobserved fi rm and worker characteristics and are thus likely to reflect selection rather than a causal effect of these immigrants. Finally, we find a positive impact on the wages of native workers from having Eastern European co-workers. URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10398/7638 Filer i denne post: 1
wp18-2007.pdf (697.2Kb)