Judgmental Forecasting of Operational Capabilities

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Judgmental Forecasting of Operational Capabilities

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dc.contributor.author Hallin, Carina Antonia
dc.contributor.author Tveterås, Sigbjørn
dc.contributor.author Andersen, Torben Juul
dc.date.accessioned 2012-08-30
dc.date.accessioned 2012-09-07T09:12:40Z
dc.date.available 2012-09-07T09:12:40Z
dc.date.issued 2012-09-07
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10398/8507
dc.description.abstract This paper explores a new judgmental forecasting indicator, the Employee Sensed Operational Capabilities (ESOC). The purpose of the ESOC is to establish a practical prediction tool that can provide early signals about changes in financial performance by gauging frontline employees’ sensing of changes in the firm’s operational capabilities. We present the first stage of the development of ESOC by applying a formative measurement approach to test the index in relation to financial performance and against an organizational commitment scale. We use distributed lag models to test whether the ESOC can predict financial performance. Monthly data were collected from frontline employees in three different companies during an 18-month period, and the initial results indicate that the ESOChas predictive power. en_US
dc.format.extent 64 en_US
dc.language eng en_US
dc.subject.other Financial performance en_US
dc.subject.other Intuitive judgments en_US
dc.subject.other Operational capabilities en_US
dc.subject.other Sensing en_US
dc.title Judgmental Forecasting of Operational Capabilities en_US
dc.type wp en_US
dc.accessionstatus modt12sep07 lbjl en_US
dc.contributor.corporation Copenhagen Business School. CBS en_US
dc.contributor.department Institut for International Økonomi og Virksomhedsledelse en_US
dc.contributor.departmentshort INT en_US
dc.contributor.departmentuk Department of International Economics and Management en_US
dc.contributor.departmentukshort INT en_US
dc.publisher.city Frederiksberg en_US
dc.publisher.year 2012 en_US
dc.title.subtitle Exploring a New Indicator to Predict Financial Performance en_US


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