Strategic Issue Identification for Crowd Predictions

OPEN ARCHIVE

Union Jack
Dannebrog

Strategic Issue Identification for Crowd Predictions

Vis flere oplysninger

Titel: Strategic Issue Identification for Crowd Predictions
Forfatter: Hallin, Carina Antonia; Lind, Anne Sofie
Resume: Successful decision making depends on the ability to identify relevant strategic environmental issues availa-ble to decision makers [Eisenhardt 1989, March and Olsen 1976, Vroom and Yetton 1973]. Crowd predictions are widely recognized for producing accurate predictions about the future [Hallin 2015, Hill 1982, Hong and Page 2004, Surowiecki 2004, Thompson 2012]. Strategic foresight and updated information about the future to support strategic decisions can be achieved by tapping into the collective wisdom of crowds [Berg and Rietz 2003, Mannes, Soll and Larrick 2014, O’Leary 2011, Wolfers and Zitzewitz 2004]. This paper introduces two empirical case studies on the identification of strategic issues for crowd pre-dictions performed in large international organizations, Copenhagen Airports and Maersk Training. The methods include interviews with key decision makers and crowd testing in order to identify relevant envi-ronmental, industrial, and firm uncertainties that are expected to affect the future financial performance of the firm over the next year.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10398/9327
Dato: 2016-07-11
Note: Paper presented at The 2016 Collective Intelligence Conference.1-3 June 2016. New York, USA

Creative Commons License This work is licensed under a Creative Commons License.

Filer Størrelse Format Vis
Hallin and Lind ... for Crowd Predictions.pdf 198.6Kb PDF Vis/Åbn Conference paper

Dette dokument findes i følgende samling(er)

Vis flere oplysninger